Nfl picks for this weekend
That is good news for J. Dobbins , a reborn Kenyan Drake and Jackson. The Browns have allowed a league-leading four touchdown runs of plus yards, including a yard rushing score on third-and vs. While the Browns can run the ball themselves, losing right guard Wyatt Teller is a big deal.
The pick: Ravens Dating back to , just one Broncos offense has been worse by points per drive through six games: the team 1. There is no value here, as the line has been bet down to 1 after opening at 3. But give me the huge coaching edge with Robert Saleh, the two leaders for Rookie of the Year honors and a team that believes in itself.
The Jets have a plus point differential in the fourth quarter. Only five teams have had a better fourth-quarter point differential through six games, dating back to While the straight-ahead Pierce ranks last in yards before contact per carry 0.
The Raiders should roll, but we are gun-shy. Their game against the Cardinals last month was a thousand-star play, and the Raiders blew a huge lead. Raiders by 6. ET Sunday, Fox Trap. The Chargers are coming off a short week and an overtime win over the Broncos and have a lot of injury issues, while the plucky Seahawks have won two out of three and Geno Smith has been a revelation.
So, why so many points? The Chargers lead the NFL in third-and-short attempts 3 yards or less to go with 38, but they rank 20th in conversion rate on those attempts The Seahawks, meanwhile, rank 19th in third-down defense in third-and-short situations, allowing opponents to convert The Packers offensive line got pushed around last week in a loss to the Jets, and we could see the same thing happen here. Packers win, but Commanders make them sweat. This feels like a field-goal game.
As for the Bucs, the way I see it, most of their problems stem from leaks in pass protection. The pick: Bucs Their four losses have come by a combined 14 points, and the Raiders are in one-score games. Their offense, specifically, has performed better than most might suspect.
The Raiders are fifth in EPA per drive. Broncos offense through six games: 29th in EPA per drive 30th in success rate 31st in points per drive They look like a completely broken unit. The sideline shots tonight said it all. All frustration, no hope. Offensively, the Seahawks rank fourth in EPA per drive.
Statistically, the Chargers offense ranks ninth in EPA per drive. But everything just feels so hard for them on a weekly basis. This is a competitive team. In an important story that flew under the radar , safety Talanoa Hufanga reportedly cleared two concussion tests on Sunday, but he developed symptoms on Monday and did not pass a third test.
As for Kansas City, I have no concerns after the loss last week to the Bills. That was a coin-flip game. The Chiefs offense still ranks first league-wide in EPA per drive by a pretty significant margin. The pick: Chiefs The Steelers were heavy home underdogs and were playing with a depleted roster against the Bucs, but used special teams, defense, and some timely third-down conversions to take down Tampa Bay, If Pickett is not cleared, the Steelers will roll with Mitchell Trubisky, who threw for yards and a touchdown after replacing Pickett in the third quarter last week.
The Dolphins, meanwhile, are expected to get quarterback Tua Tagovailoa back for the first time since he was carted off the field in Week 4 with a concussion. Give me the points. Seven-minute opening statement from Bill Belichick, who makes the Bears sound like the Bears. Zappe was 7-for-8 for yards on play-action passes. The Bears offense continues to be a tough watch. The pick: Patriots Check your inbox for a welcome email.
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